>>59250231
>Cycle theory:
it's literally matching from cycle bottom exactly lol

The idea of some new crazy risk being introduced the same cycle as we have state pension funds, and mass institutional adoption with the etfs as well as nation states openly talking about setting up reserves just seems kind of unjustified.

>stock market tanks it may end the bull market
We had a historical crash with covid and 2020 and the bull market continued, if potentially "restricted" which some people speculate (which is of course only even more bullish for this cycle)
The new administrations policies in general are all very pro btc and the market.

>The current euphoria
there is no euphoria, no one cares about BTC except weirdos online right now, 0 retail as come back. That usually only steps up much later into the rate cutting cycle.

We have never peaked in the halving year, and always peak post halving year, there are tons of indicators you can use
https://charts.checkonchain.com/btconchain/confluence/confluence_cycleextremeoscillators_1/confluence_cycleextremeoscillators_1_light.html

I get being paranoid about it because you quit your job, but that was probably a bad decision and is making you make stupid decisions with money. I could see taking out like 5-10% now at most if you were really cautious.

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I sold 11 BTC a few days ago and Coinbase transfer hit my account today. I'm out