>>24439110
>>statistics
>who cares what a buncha bean counters think

statistics, is a very powerful tool. Its also true, that its easy to manipulate people by gaming the statistical information. Performed with rigid and scientific vigor, it can be quite telling. The biggest accusation launched at statistics, typically occurs when what the statistics are telling you, isn't what you want to hear. A typical lob of slung mud will be...
"But, you can't predict what *any* human being will do! Its bullshit!"
Which is true, but essentially an omission of the complete fact. Take, rates of cancer or anything else. Barring any of the data changing, when the insurance actuaries tell you for instance that "1.6% of the population in that zip code, will be diagnosed with cancer, per year." Now, its obvious on it face, that no one can predict WHICH person will get cancer. However. With a high enough confidence interval (i)... you can easily take .016* population, and... that will be how many you find. If nothing changes. if you're curious how accurate it will be, look at the plus/minus. if its 1.6% plus or minus .1%? Its trivial to multiple .001*population, and figure out your plus minus range.
If you think its all bullshit, that's news to insurance companies, which is who hires actuaries... which are essentially good statistics mathematicians. The big insurance corporations, rarely fail to succeed. To convince you of its accuracy, consider the following. Confident enough to drop rates to compete against the next company? They're angling to "lower" profits (rates), to gain market share. You can choose to ignore statistical probabilities, but it will (likely) result in your demise.
Now, if anon truly believe its all made up bullshit. Because, who would care what any bean counter says. If I give you an (accurate) statistic, like... anon? There's a 90% chance you will not live, if you do X.
Think that's a safe bet? No? Why not. Suddenly, you might think twice about "bean counting". How about the reverse. You, have a 10% chance of winning. care to risk your life savings or your very life, on that one? Hmm?
Com eon, anon. Fuck it. A bean counter, told you it will 9 out of 10 times fail. Fuck the bean counters, they don;t know shit. You just need to "want it" bad enough, bro.
Math done properly? Doesn't lie, anon.
But hey, bean counting is for fags.
Anon? Casinos have yet to lose money. Its ALL statistics. But hey. If I have 2 pocket aces, and you have a 2 and a three, mismatched suits. Go on, and go "all in" on the big poker hand. I have an 89% chance of winning, the five cards in the middle of the table not up yet. Meyers Lansky was a numbers autist, and was notorious for making the mob money, legit. As in, no rigged odds, for happier players. He simply showed them the power, of math. Lansky had memorized ALL the odds of poker, and he was good at it.

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